Friday, May 23, 2025

Dan Mitchell: Decentralize The Welfare State

"Excessive government spending is America’s top fiscal problem.

To be more specific, poorly designed entitlement programs are leading to an ever-growing spending burden that ultimately will either lead to massive tax increases or a debt crisis.

To avoid either of those bad options, we need entitlement reform.

I’ve previously written about how to fix “social insurance” programs for older people, such as Social Security and Medicare.

Today, let’s look at the other category of entitlements, the “means tested” programs for low-income people, such as Medicaid and food stamps.

Let’s start by looking at two charts from the Economic Policy Innovation Center.

The first chart shows how fast spending on health programs is increasing, along with a line showing how fast spending increases if Republicans in Congress succeed with some reforms to the Medicaid program.

The second chart shows how food stamp spending dramatically spiked during the pandemic and has since stayed very high because Biden expanded the program.

Excessive government spending is America’s top fiscal problem.

To be more specific, poorly designed entitlement programs are leading to an ever-growing spending burden that ultimately will either lead to massive tax increases or a debt crisis.

To avoid either of those bad options, we need entitlement reform.

I’ve previously written about how to fix “social insurance” programs for older people, such as Social Security and Medicare.

Today, let’s look at the other category of entitlements, the “means tested” programs for low-income people, such as Medicaid and food stamps.

Let’s start by looking at two charts from the Economic Policy Innovation Center.

The first chart shows how fast spending on health programs is increasing, along with a line showing how fast spending increases if Republicans in Congress succeed with some reforms to the Medicaid program.

The second chart shows how food stamp spending dramatically spiked during the pandemic and has since stayed very high because Biden expanded the program.

Ideally, the way to deal with both programs is to copy Bill Clinton’s successful welfare reform by shifting the programs back to the states.

In the short run, this would mean giving states a “block grant” and giving them the flexibility to figure out the best ways of spending the money.

In the long run, the ideal policy would be to phase out the block grants so that states can decide both how to raise money and how to spend money.

Matt Weidinger of the American Enterprise Institute has a similar perspective. Here are some excerpts from a recent article... 

Source:Dan Mitchell is a Libertarian economist.

From Dan Mitchell

Now if the MAGA Party (that some people still call the Republican Party) was serious about reducing the Federal debt and deficit, (and money grew out of a MAGA hat on the same day) they would be doing something like what Dan Mitchell is talking about here. But MAGA is not even conservative, let alone Republican, at least in ideology. They are their own political party in ideology.

My approach is a little different here.

So what leftists, Libertarians, and real Conservatives call the “welfare state”, I call it the safety net.

Why? Welfare states, especially in the developed world, are universal. They apply to everyone regardless of their income levels. America is obviously more liberal democratic, capitalist, liberal capitalist (if you will) as a country and we expect our people to be able to at least try to become economically independent on their own, before they are eligible for public assistance. Our safety net is there (and I’m sure this sounds corny) to catch people when they fall on hard times. It’s not there to try to micromanage their lives for them.

The American public safety net, in a Federal budget of $7 trillion (for FY 2025) is $1.7 trillion dollars, not including Social Security and Medicare. That might sound like a lot when you are talking about public assistance representing about 1/4 of the entire U.S. Federal budget. But compared with Canada and a lot of places in Europe, where they spend 40, 45, 50%, perhaps more in some places, America still has a pretty small safety net budget.

The U.S. Federal deficit as if right now, is around $1.8 trillion. That’s a huge number, which again begs the question why would a political party that’s supposed to be the center-right conservative party in America, be trying to add another $2 trillion to the deficit. But that’s a different question. But by applying some fiscal federalism to the U.S. public assistance budget, we could literally eliminate the Federal deficit in this country.

And we wouldn’t have to do “balance the budget off the backs of poor people” (as the far-left loves to say) by kicking anyone off these programs who actually needs them and are legally eligible for them:

Just turn them over to the states and local government’s

Give all these government’s an annual appropriation to run these programs themselves

Make all these programs financially self-sufficient

And require everyone on them to get an education and go to work as well.

So why do this, besides to deal with the Federal deficit?

Well, I just explained the fiscal reasons for doing this. And for leftists who are worried that this would give let’s say red states the permission to kick out minorities and poor people… you could have basic Federal standards that prohibits states and localities from kicking people off these programs, simply because they’re on them, or they’re trying to save money. They would be allowed to kick people off because they don’t want to work, or get an education, move into a good community, etc. But not simply just to kick them off.

And last reason for doing this is, as U.S. Justice Louis Brandeis famously and intelligently once said: states are laboratories for democracy. They are the boots on the ground when it comes to public assistance in America. And they don’t need Uncle Sam trying to run Medicaid, or Food Stamps, Public Assistance, job training, Welfare, Unemployment Insurance for them. And with just basic, enforceable, Federal standards, these programs would be a lot more cost-effective, (especially for taxpayers) and would be run a lot better, because the people running the programs, would be in the communities where these programs are run.


You can follow me on Threads and Twitter.

Inside Politics With Dana Bash: ‘A Big Win For Harvard’: Elie Honig Reacts To Judge’s Decision

"A federal judge has temporarily halted the Trump administration’s ban on Harvard University’s ability to enroll international students. US District Judge Allison Burroughs ruled hours after the nation’s oldest and wealthiest college filed suit Friday. Harvard argued revocation of its certification in the Student and Exchange Visitor Program was “clear retaliation” for its refusal of the government’s ideologically rooted policy demands." 

Source:CNN legal analyst Elie Honig.

From CNN

As Kire Schneider said in speaking about how President Trump practices economics today on The New Democrat: 

"But what Kevin Williamson is doing here and what I'm arguing as well, is this is how President Trump governs when it comes to economics: "Do things my way, or I'll bring the heavy force of the national big government, down on your ass. And I won't release my giant grip (remember, Donald Trump brags about how big his hands are) until you run your business or organization exactly the way I want you to."


I have mixed feelings here. Generally when I think of Harvard and perhaps the broader Ivy League, but especially Harvard, I think of overprivileged, Anglo-Saxon, preppy snobs, and left-wing Hippies, who think they know what's best for everyone else and how everyone else should live, because they're overprivileged and perhaps overeducated and they went to Harvard. And it also makes me want to do my what I could call (at least) sport-on, impression of someone who went to Harvard, with my impression of an Anglo-Saxon, preppy Harvard alumni. 

But like every other private institution in America, or private corporation, that's exactly what they are. It's not the job of Uncle Sam (or in this case Uncle Don) to tell private institutions and corporations, how to run their own organization. Now all these organizations have to follow the same labor, environmental, tax laws, as everyone else. But that's not the same thing as Uncle Don coming in, with his niece Pam Bondi and niece Kristi Doggone Noem  telling Harvard, they're going to take away their Federal funds and international students, because they don't like the politics of their student body or the professors there. 

What we're seeing with the Trump Administration is not how Conservatives and Republicans govern and do business. This is the fascist far-right coming in and not just taking over the Republican Party, but now they're trying to take over the rest of the country, including the private sector, with the force of a national, big government. But Donald Trump was elected twice as President, so the voters are having to live with the consequences of his 80 million voters voting for him. 

You can follow me on Threads.

You can also see this post on WordPress.

Ben Meiselas: Donald Trump RUNS AWAY To HIDE On FRIDAY On DISASTER NEWS

"MeidasTouch host Ben Meiselas reports on Donald Trump running to hide and golf at Bedminster on Friday for the weekend as he sets the country on fire." 

Source:Meidas Touch with a look at The Crazy Don. With any luck... perhaps with all the luck in the world, the President will be too happy in Bedminster to ever come back to Washington.

From the Medias Touch

From NPR News: 

"A federal judge has temporarily blocked the Trump administration's move to revoke Harvard University's ability to enroll international students.

Harvard filed the lawsuit on Friday morning, just a day after the Department of Homeland Security said it would terminate the school's certification that authorizes it to enroll international students and scholars.

People walk through a gate as they exit Harvard Yard on the campus of Harvard University in Cambridge, Mass. Trump administration revokes Harvard's ability to enroll international students
According to the university's complaint, this revocation is a "blatant violation of the First Amendment," and a retaliation against Harvard for rejecting "the government's demands to control Harvard's governance, curriculum, and the 'ideology' of its faculty and students."

Before Federal Judge Allison Burroughs issued the temporary restraining order, DHS told currently enrolled visa holders that they "must transfer to another university in order to maintain their nonimmigrant status." Harvard has nearly 7,000 international students, which make up roughly 27% of the student body... 

From NPR News

"Fox News co-anchor Bill Hemmer confronted Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Friday about concerns that President Donald Trump's "big, beautiful bill" could add trillions of dollars to the nation's debt.

Newsweek has reached out to the U.S. Treasury for comment via email.

Why It Matters

The legislation extended Trump's 2017 tax cuts, reducing taxes for individuals and corporations and adding new exemptions for tipped workers and overtime pay.

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated the bill would add $3.8 trillion to the national debt over the next 10 years, drawing criticism from Democrats and some Republicans who warn the spending cuts included in the bill would be insufficient to pay for the tax cuts and other spending priorities. The potential increase to the country's $36.2 trillion deficit was the primary source of opposition from certain House Republicans.

Hemmer pressed Bessent about the CBO's report during an interview on America's Newsroom Friday morning.

"This bill adds trillions to our debt. How is that acceptable to this administration?" Hemmer asked.

Bessent responded: "You're referring to the CBO scoring, I believe, which is 10-year scoring, and it's D.C.-style scoring. So, we think that we can both grow the economy and control the debt. And what's important, Bill, is that the economy grows faster than the debt."

The treasury secretary added: "So, what I would tell your viewers to focus on is what I'm focused on, is what [former Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen] was focused on, is what is the total debt to GDP [gross domestic product] because we can grow our way out of this. That if we change the growth trajectory, of the country, of the economy, then we will stabilize our finances and grow our way out of this."

From Newsweek

So can you now see why Conservative columnist Kevin Williamson calls Donald John Trump (President of the United States and leader of the Republican Party... the party that's supposed to be the center-right party in America) a Socialist? I sure as hell can and if you can't, you might want to see your political doctor because you might be going blind. This is Williamson's argument for President Trump being a Socialist and he was talking about how the President talks about economics in America:

"We are a department store, and we set the price. I meet with the companies, and then I set a fair price, what I consider to be a fair price, and they can pay it, or they don’t have to pay it. They don’t have to do business with the United States, but I set a tariff on countries. … What I’m doing is I will, at a certain point in the not too distant future, I will set a fair price of tariffs for different countries. These are countries—some of them have made hundreds of billions of dollars, and some of them have made just a lot of money. Very few of them have made nothing because the United States was being ripped off by every, almost every country in the world, in the entire world. So I will set a price, and when I set the price, and I will set it fairly according to the statistics, and according to everything else...


Look, if this offends any American leftists, especially closeted Socialists... cut back on your daily capitalist coffee take by 50%. You'll relax a lot more and not be so politically oversensitive. If you want to call Trumpenomics fascist, fine. But Communists are fascists as well. 

But what Kevin Williamson is doing here and what I'm arguing as well, is this is how President Trump governs when it comes to economics: "Do things my way, or I'll bring the heavy force of the national big government, down on your ass. And I won't release my giant grip (remember, Donald Trump brags about how big his hands are) until you run your business or organization exactly the way I want you to."

And as far as Secretary of Treasury Scott Bessent (who perhaps might be better qualified to be Secretary of the U.S. Bankruptcy, with the "Big Beautiful Bill") essentially arguing that the Trump Administration's'/House Republican budget and tax plan "paying for itself", this is what Ederik Schneider said about that yesterday on The New Democrat: 

"So when I look at the bill, (that Donald Trump calls the Big Beautiful Bill) it takes me back to the early and mid-2000s, when you had a Republican President (in George W. Bush) and a Republican Congress. 

President Bush governed on "deficits don't matter"... his own Vice President Dick Cheney literally stated that in 2003. And he simply didn't want to cut government spending because he ran as a New Republican who cared about people, but also believed in "free markets". So as long as a Republican administration was saying "deficits don't matter", you weren't going to have a Republican Congress challenge their own President and risk their own reelection chances. 

So what the Republican Congress's of 2003-04, and 2005-06, did was to say: "We don't believe in budget cuts or tax hikes. So we're going to fund our own new budget priorities, without paying for them. And cut taxes for everyone, without paying for them. And everyone in the country will thank us for that. Well, enough people to keep us in power... 


And this is what Erik said about that yesterday: 

"As far as the "Big Beautiful Bill": the phrase "guns and butter" was used a lot in the 2000s when talking about President George W. Bush's economic and foreign policy. What that was about was the President taking us to war twice in Afghanistan and Iraq, cutting taxes by trillions of dollars twice, doubling the size of Medicare, (which is an entitlement program) and telling everyone that nobody has to pay for anything because as Vice President Dick Cheney infamously said: "Deficit don't matter". 

Well if you are familiar with the Stock Market crash of 2008, which led to the Great Recession of 2008-09, you know that deficits do matter. it keeps interest rates up, it weakens the U.S. Dollar, which makes it very difficult for anyone who isn't a millionaire or better, to borrow any money. 

The "Big Beautiful Bill", is really poorly named... unless it's the title of a political horror film and you give it a soft title like that so you don't scare the hell out of any potential viewers of it before they see the film. This is really just Donald Trump Manhattan Economics here. He personally has already bankrupt himself 6 times: why not the largest and most important economy and government in the world as well? "


Donald J. Trump really needs a professional babysitter or guardian, because he governs like a little boy. He has 1 small victory from yesterday (that the rest of the country is going to have to pay for indefinitely) and he acts like he can go back to being Crazy Don and hit an American, private, for-profit corporation (Apple) with a tariff, (which is a middle class tax hike) because they don't make all of their products in America. 

President Trump loses a couple more court decisions today and runs away to New Jersey to play golf. Which is like the kid at a convenient store, who runs out of the store with a candy bar or soda, that he didn't pay for, because he doesn't want to get into trouble. But he was elected President, twice, even though it was clear 10 years ago, not just last year that he's never been qualified to do a good job as President. And the rest of the country has to try to live with the fact that he is President again. 

You can follow me on Threads and Twitter.

You can also see this post on WordPress.

Thursday, May 22, 2025

The Washington Post: Medicaid Cuts & Trillions in Debt: What's in Donald Trump's Bill

"On this episode, The Washington Post's Libby Casey, Rhonda Colvin and James Hohmann break down a busy week in Washington, starting with the shocking shooting of two Israeli embassy employees. Then, the crew dives into the GOP's "big, beautiful" budget bill: What's in it, what the sticking points were, and what had to be negotiated.

Later, the crew breaks down the chaotic meeting in the Oval Office between Trump and South African President Cyril Ramaphosa – and how Trump is using Oval Office meetings to set up televised showdowns with other world leaders.

Plus, technology reporter Drew Harwell joins the show to preview Trump's morally-murky dinner with investors in his crypto meme coin." 

Source:The Washington Post with a look at South African President Cyril Ramaphosa and The MAGA Don.

From The Washington Post

From Derik Schneider earlier on The New Democrat: 

"I know I'm not making any news by saying this, but it's important and it leads to my overall point about this bill: at the end of the day, if House Republicans just had a 1 seat majority and every singe House Democrat voted no on this legislation, but every Republican voted yes, the bill would still pass. And the bill is an accomplishment for the House Republican Leadership (led by Speaker Mike Johnson and Majority Leader Steve Scalise) in this sense because they can say that they showed that they can govern and get their agenda passed. 

But in the broader world, the BBB is a pretty minor accomplishment because of the fallout that now awaits House Republicans going into 2026, with the increases of the national debt, deficit, and interest rates, that will affect at least 90% of the country in a negative way. And that's just the start of the fallout...


And as Ederik Schneider said: 

"So when I look at the bill, (that Donald Trump calls the Big Beautiful Bill) it takes me back to the early and mid-2000s, when you had a Republican President (in George W. Bush) and a Republican Congress. 

President Bush governed on "deficits don't matter"... his own Vice President Dick Cheney literally stated that in 2003. And he simply didn't want to cut government spending because he ran as a New Republican who cared about people, but also believed in "free markets". So as long as a Republican administration was saying "deficits don't matter", you weren't going to have a Republican Congress challenge their own President and risk their own reelection chances. 

So what the Republican Congress's of 2003-04, and 2005-06, did was to say: "We don't believe in budget cuts or tax hikes. So we're going to fund our own new budget priorities, without paying for them. And cut taxes for everyone, without paying for them. And everyone in the country will thank us for that. Well, enough people to keep us in power... 


So if you want to look at this bill from a Democratic perspective... I could do that for you and then I'll get into what I think about this legislation as well later on. 

Every single House Democrat did their jobs here. Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and Minority Whip Katherine Clark got 214 no votes from their own caucus, in a bill that does some have some real middle class tax cuts in it, like no taxes on tips and a few other things. But there's at least 1 middle class tax hike in it (that I've found so far) dealing with the Child Tax Credit. And that's important and because as the Trump Administration gets ready to borrow trillions of more dollars, that the House has just approved, and we'll see what the Senate does, but if they pass something similar here, that's a great issue for Congressional Democrats next year. 

So think about this: while interest rates remain high, while the Stock Market continues to struggle, while people on Medicaid are losing that coverage, including seniors, while President Trump's own voters lose their Medicaid, Food Stamps, and disaster relief... the deficit that's already approaching $2T, the economy continues to struggle because of the Trump trade war, House and Senate Democrats will have a major opportunity to start building their Blue Wave. Which the Midwest would be a major factor for House Democrats, if this wave happens.

When I'm talking about a Blue Wave, I'm not just winning back New York and New Jersey for the House, but making real plays for the Senate in North Carolina, Maine, and even Iowa... 3 states that depend on Medicaid, Food Stamps, and disaster relief... states that can't afford to see their cost of livings go up. And maybe even Louisiana and Texas, especially if Senators Bill Cassidy and John Cornyn get primaried out and replaced by MAGA candidates, who would have to run statewide in those 2 states. 

As far as the "Big Beautiful Bill": the phrase "guns and butter" was used a lot in the 2000s when talking about President George W. Bush's economic and foreign policy. What that was about was the President taking us to war twice in Afghanistan and Iraq, cutting taxes by trillions of dollars twice, doubling the size of Medicare, (which is an entitlement program) and telling everyone that nobody has to pay for anything because as Vice President Dick Cheney infamously said: "Deficit don't matter". 

Well if you are familiar with the Stock Market crash of 2008, which led to the Great Recession of 2008-09, you know that deficits do matter. it keeps interest rates up, it weakens the U.S. Dollar, which makes it very difficult for anyone who isn't a millionaire or better, to borrow any money. 

The "Big Beautiful Bill", is really poorly named... unless it's the title of a political horror film and you give it a soft title like that so you don't scare the hell out of any potential viewers of it before they see the film. This is really just Donald Trump Manhattan Economics here. He personally has already bankrupt himself 6 times: why not the largest and most important economy and government in the world as well? 

You can follow me on Threads.

You can also see this post on WordPress.

Ron Paul Liberty Report: Prosperity Or Poverty House Hands Donald Trump His 'Big Beautiful Bill'

"The House narrowly approved President Trump's "big beautiful bill" earlier today, with two Republicans dissenting. Will this bill usher in a new era of prosperity...or will it drown the country in unmanageable debt?" 

Source:Ron Paul Liberty Report with a look at The MAGA Don.

From the Ron Paul Liberty Report

From Derik Schneider earlier on The New Democrat: 

"I know I'm not making any news by saying this, but it's important and it leads to my overall point about this bill: at the end of the day, if House Republicans just had a 1 seat majority and every singe House Democrat voted no on this legislation, but every Republican voted yes, the bill would still pass. And the bill is an accomplishment for the House Republican Leadership (led by Speaker Mike Johnson and Majority Leader Steve Scalise) in this sense because they can say that they showed that they can govern and get their agenda passed. 

But in the broader world, the BBB is a pretty minor accomplishment because of the fallout that now awaits House Republicans going into 2026, with the increases of the national debt, deficit, and interest rates, that will affect at least 90% of the country in a negative way. And that's just the start of the fallout...


So when I look at the bill, (that Donald Trump calls the Big Beautiful Bill) it takes me back to the early and mid-2000s, when you had a Republican President (in George W. Bush) and a Republican Congress. 

President Bush governed on "deficits don't matter"... his own Vice President Dick Cheney literally stated that in 2003. And he simply didn't want to cut government spending because he ran as a New Republican who cared about people, but also believed in "free markets". So as long as a Republican administration was saying "deficits don't matter", you weren't going to have a Republican Congress challenge their own President and risk their own reelection chances. 

So what the Republican Congress's of 2003-04, and 2005-06, did was to say: "We don't believe in budget cuts or tax hikes. So we're going to fund our own new budget priorities, without paying for them. And cut taxes for everyone, without paying for them. And everyone in the country will thank us for that. Well, enough people to keep us in power". 

Now Donald J. Trump and George W. Bush, are obviously different men and politicians. Which is as newsworthy as saying people in Wisconsin can expect cold weather in January. But 1 thing they have in common is "deficits don't matter". Just pass your own conservative budget priorities, but don't pay for them. And cut taxes for everyone and let future government's (administration's and Congress's) figure out how to pay for the credit card bills that G,W. Bush and DJT left for them. They're like an over-spoiled teenage daughter or trophy wife, who is given an allowance and their own credit card, by their daddy or sugar daddy, that is paid for by their daddy or sugar daddy.

It's hard to imagine how government can be any more fiscally irresponsible, than G.W. Bush and DJT, when it comes to government. But they were both elected President twice. And hopefully you don't need me to remind you that elections have consequences. In this case, really bad fiscal and economic consequences, that future administration's and Congress's are going to have to pay for, that the people are going to have to pay for now.  

You can follow me on Threads and Twitter.

You can also see this post on WordPress.

Robert Reich: What You Need To Share About The "One Big Beautiful" Ugly Horrible Bill

"The old professor in me thinks the best way to convey to you how utterly awful the so-called “one big beautiful bill” passed by the House last night actually is would be to give you this short ten-question exam. (Answers are in parenthesis, but first try to answer without looking at them.)

1. Does the House’s “one big beautiful bill” cut Medicare? (Answer: Yes, by an estimated $500 billion.)

2. Because the bill cuts Medicaid, how many Americans are expected to lose Medicaid coverage? (At least 8.6 million.)

3. Will the tax cut in the bill benefit the rich or the poor or everyone?(Overwhelmingly, the rich.)

4. How much will the top 0.1 percent of earners stand to gain from it? (Nearly $390,000 per year).

5. If you figure in the benefit cuts and the tax cuts, will Americans making between about $17,000 and $51,000 gain or lose? (They’ll lose about $700 a year).

6. How about Americans with incomes less than $17,000? (They’ll lose more than $1,000 per year on average).

7. How much will the bill add to the federal debt? ($3.8 trillion over 10 years.)

8. Who will pay the interest on this extra debt? (All of us, in both our tax payments and higher interest rates for mortgages, car loans, and all other longer-term borrowing.)

9. Who collects this interest? (People who lend to the U.S. government, 70 percent of whom are American and most of whom are wealthy.)

10. Bonus question: Is the $400 million airplane from Qatar a gift to the United States for every future president to use, or a gift to Trump for his own personal use? (It’s a personal gift because he’ll get to use it after he leaves the presidency.)

Most Americans are strongly opposed to all of these things, according to polls. But if you knew the answers to these ten questions, you’re likely to be in a very tiny minority. That’s because of (1) distortions and cover-ups emanating from Trump and magnified by Fox News and other rightwing outlets. (2) A public that’s overwhelmed with the blitzkrieg of everything Trump is doing, and can’t focus on this. (3) Outright silencing of many in the media who fear retaliation from the Trump regime if they reveal things that Trump doesn’t want revealed.

Please do your part: Share this as widely as possible."

Source:Robert Reich on Facebook.

From Robert Reich

From CBS News: 

"The House passed the GOP budget bill early Thursday morning by a narrow margin after last-minute changes were made to satisfy Republican holdouts. CBS News' Caitlin Huey-Burns joins with more." 

Source:CBS News with a look at Speaker of the House Mike Johnson (MAGA, Shreveport, Louisiana)

From CBS News

I know I'm not making any news by saying this, but it's important and it leads to my overall point about this bill: at the end of the day, if House Republicans just had a 1 seat majority and every singe House Democrat voted no on this legislation, but every Republican voted yes, the bill would still pass. And the bill is an accomplishment for the House Republican Leadership (led by Speaker Mike Johnson and Majority Leader Steve Scalise) in this sense because they can say that they showed that they can govern and get their agenda passed. 

But in the broader world, the BBB is a pretty minor accomplishment because of the fallout that now awaits House Republicans going into 2026, with the increases of the national debt, deficit, and interest rates, that will affect at least 90% of the country in a negative way. And that's just the start of the fallout. 

So why is the BBB a problem for House Republicans and perhaps Senate Republicans as well? 

1. The national Republican Party, (I believe, at least) is in a "damned if they do, damned if they don't" situation: they pass this very unpopular bill, that literally raises taxes on the middle class by limiting the Child Tax Credit, and cuts Medicaid funding as well, which affects MAGA's own voters in rural communities, which goes on top of the FEMA cuts that these voters are already having to live with... the House is now probably gone for the Republicans next year. And now we're just talking about how many seats Democrats will pick up: will it be 10, (which might be a small victory for House Republicans) or could be 15, 20, 25, and perhaps the Senate is in play as well, if Democrats put a wave together next year. 

2. But if Congressional Republicans (House & Senate) weren't able  to pass anything here, (for whatever the reasons) it just backs up 1 of the Democratic arguments that Republicans don't know how to govern... at least by themselves. And Independents would turn on them because of the gridlock and the fact that the Republican Party was completely in charge of the Federal Government the last 2 years. And MAGA would stay home on Election Day because the Republicans didn't do anything for them. 

It's obvious why Robert Reich doesn't like this bill. Show me a Socialist who's ever supported any tax relief for anybody and I'll show my ocean beachfront property in Wyoming, with a clear view of Russia from there. Show me government budget cuts that aren't related to defense, intelligence, and law enforcement that any Socialist has ever supported, I'll sell you my winter ski resort in Miami Beach. But if Democrats play this right, (big if) they now have 3 key issues, just on the economy that they can use to create their Blue Wave next year, that are now in the BBB: 

Middle class tax hikes

Health care cuts to small towns and rural communities

And cuts to disaster relief that primarily affects small towns and rural communities. 

And this is how Democrats go not from winning a bare majority in the House next year, but instead 20 seats, perhaps more than that in the House and have a real shot of winning back the Senate as well, because they'll be able to not just win everywhere in the Northeast, but now will be able to win back the Midwest as well, because of the middle class cuts in the BBB. 

You can follow me on Threads and Twitter.

You can also see this post on WordPress.

Wednesday, May 21, 2025

Jonah Goldberg: In Praise of Hippie Punching

"I’m going through one of these moments in which a lot of people have decided that they know my motives better than I do. We don’t need to get into the weeds on that (spoiler: you don’t). But it does make me feel obliged to explain my motives upfront. I want the Democratic Party to get its act together for a few reasons. For starters, it’d be good for America. Second, it’d be good for the Republican Party. Last, if the Republican Party doesn’t get its act together and instead keeps going in a statist, protectionist, price-fixing, big spending, direction with an utterly amoral approach to foreign policy, it’d be good if the Democratic Party offered a (better) alternative to that. 

So, here’s what I think the Democratic Party needs to do: Punch a whole lotta of hippies. 

From what I can tell, the phrase hippie punching emerged about 15 years ago, in the last days of the Golden Age of the lefty blogosphere. It was used in a pejorative way to describe the way moderates or centrists demonstrated they weren’t too radical. I think it’s a pretty brilliant phrase, in part because it’s great spin. The image of a harmless hippie, maybe holding a “Vegetable Rights and Peace!” sign, getting unfairly clobbered in the mug puts the villainy on the puncher. “Hey, man, what did you do that for?”

Phrasing like “Bolshevik smacking,” “Whackjob whacking,” or “Radical slapping” takes away some of the suggestion that it’s unfair and unprovoked to attack the lefty fringe of the party. But “hippie punching”? That’s sort of like “Amish kicking.”

Of course, this is wrong on a whole bunch of levels. For starters, we’re not talking about literal violence—I’m against literal punching in politics generally—we’re talking about arguments and, well, politics. Second, the lefty fringe of the Democratic Party punches rightward all the time (in much the same way the righty fringe of the GOP punches leftward). I mean Bernie Sanders and AOC denounce the dwindling band of moderates in the Democratic Party whenever it suits them. This dynamic is not new; it’s the way the parties have worked at least for a century. 

One last point on the wrongness of the alleged wrongness of hippie-punching: Fairness is overrated in politics. Or rather, fairness is misapplied in all sorts of contexts. If, for example, a Democrat thinks the government should nationalize the health care industry root and branch, it’s not “unfair” for another Democrat to say, “I disagree. I think that guy is nuts. And, I don’t think my party should have anything to do with such nuttery.” Whether it’s good politics to draw such distinctions is a prudential question. And, in this moment, I think it’s pretty obvious that the Democratic Party needs someone to do a whole lotta punching leftward...

Source:The Dispatch co-founder Jonah Goldberg.

From The Dispatch

I sort of got into what Jonah Goldberg was talking about myself, about people that I sort of call Hipster Democrats, back in April: 

"I think especially in politics and government when someone tries to look or seem "cool'... to "go viral" on social media, they look like the 45-50 year old dad, who has 3 kids, who is bored with himself and his life, so he decides the way to "fix his life" is to:

grow a goatee, 

wear their heir back with an entire bottle of gel, everyday  

speaks exclusively in pop culture references and catch phrases

is always seen staring at his phone and with a coffee cup, etc... they don't look real. They look like someone who is suffering through a middle age, pop culture crisis. They look like they're trying to be something that they're not...


And as Ederik Schneider said about this a couple weeks ago: 

"And I agree with the point that both Matt Lewis and Rik Schneider we're making. I think the left-wing of the Democratic Party, looks like a real-life, Hollywood political film, or "or reality TV show", where everyone else is trying to "out viral" the other person and use that to jumpstart whatever career that they want to have for themselves. 

But could you imagine if Socialists, even in the Democratic Party ever came to power in America? I mean their whole lifestyle, their culture, their way of life, is dependent and completely subsidized by the American capitalist and liberal democratic system. And most of them know that. Most of these folks are educated. Most of these folks make good livings for themselves, even millionaires. 

Representative Alexandria O. Cortez couldn't even afford to pay her own rent in Washington, when she moved here in 2019. Now she's worth $30 million dollars. That's what can happen to you become famous and have a large following of young hipsters, who think you are the coolest thing since skinny jeans and smartphones and you write a book or 2. 

So 1, I don't see Socialists ever coming to power in America, even if they're "Democrats". Because once people start thinking about what it would mean to have a socialist government in America, voters stop being impressed by all the hipster catch phrases and other fashion statements that these folks make and start thinking about how much a socialist government would cost them. 

And 2, the left-wing in America, when the rubber meets the road, when everyone is at the starting gate, when the 2 warriors meet in the ring, etc... when it's time to get down and do some business... they don't want a socialist government either, because that would destroy their way of life and ability to joy life and afford all the high-end things that consumes them. But it's cool to sound like a militant hipster, (especially with young people) who wants to "take down the man" and wipeout poverty, disease, bigotry, etc. But when it gets down to how you do those things and how you pay for them, not even Socialists are interested in doing that in America." 


Bill Maher talked about what Jonah Goldberg is talking about here, but referring to Occupy Wall Street, which was a very young, Millennial, left-wing, hippie/hipster, political movement, back in 2011-12. But he didn't call them Hippies: 

"Yes, they're peeing outdoors and having sex in sleeping bags, or, as Bristol Palin calls it, 'dating,' but they're not hippies," Maher said on Real Time Friday. "The hippies are all gone."


Yes, anytime either of the 2 major political parties have a fringe in it, (or in this case both the Democrats and Republicans) that can obviously pose as a problem... especially when the fringe of 1 of the parties wins The White House and controls both chambers of Congress. Well, The White House and House. The Senate is run by Majority Leader John Thune... and he really isn't anyone's definition of a radical... except for course for the far-left of the Democratic Party. 

But have 2 points here: 

1. The reason why both major parties have their own fringes, is because of the two-party system. And I'm saying this as a lifelong Democrat, who comes from a German-American Democratic family, in Maryland. Which obviously isn't unusual in this state.

I'm not saying I want a parliamentary, social democratic, form of government, because I don't. But you let the Green Party have universal ballot and polling access, the Greens in the Democratic Party, would probably move over to the Green Party. 

There isn't a far-right, third party in America, because all the far-rightists are in the Republican Party right now. The Republican (whether this was intelligent or not) consolidated the entire right wing (center to far-right) in the Republican Party. Some Socialists are Democrats, but a lot of them are in the Green Party, or other far-left third parties. 

2. As I talked about last month and as Ederik Schneider talked about here 2 weeks ago, we actually don't see the left-wing of the Democratic Party as a political movement. More like cultural movement of very young hipsters, (or Hippies) who think it's cool to look and sound antiestablishment, even in the Democratic Party. Not that different from what was going on in the late 1960s and early 1970s in the Democratic Party, with the original New Left. But most of those folks were Boomers, who grew up, got lives, and mainstreamed themselves in American society. 

And you go up almost 15 years from 2011, a lot of Millennials are doing the same thing as the Boomers did. A lot of them, as well as even some Gen-Y people, voted for Donald Trump in all 3 elections. 

And to remind you of what Ederik said 2 weeks ago: 

"So 1, I don't see Socialists ever coming to power in America, even if they're "Democrats". Because once people start thinking about what it would mean to have a socialist government in America, voters stop being impressed by all the hipster catch phrases and other fashion statements that these folks make and start thinking about how much a socialist government would cost them...

Republicans won't like hearing this, including mainstream Republicans, (you know, the Conservatives) but 1 of the major differences between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party... the adults don't sit at the table in the Democratic Party. They own the table and the kids sit in the other room... except when the adults need their votes for something. 

The reason why "The Squad" and other left-wing Democrats, are always struggling to even get a major committee assignment, especially in the House, because they're seen as too radical and the House Democratic Leadership doesn't want to be put on the record speaking about their interesting (to be nice) statements, or actions that they take. Most left-wing Democrats can't get elected anywhere statewide in this country. Bernie and Liz are the exceptions to that in Vermont and Massachusetts. But that's out of 100 U.S. Senators in Congress. And none of these left-wingers are governors, either.  

And as The New Democrat has said before, as well... 2025-26 is not about rebranding the image of the Democratic Party. Each Democrat running for elected office in this cycle, will control whatever their "brand" might be for that election. This cycle is about reminding voters that we still have a two-party system and why Republicans shouldn't be allowed to have a unified government, with almost no political checks on their power, going into 2027. 

You can follow me on Threads and Twitter.

You can also see this post on WordPress.

John F. Kennedy Liberal Democrat

John F. Kennedy Liberal Democrat
Source: U.S. Senator John F. Kennedy in 1960